Необязательная страна - Вали Наср

213 Sanger, Confront and Conceal, pp. 243—72.

214 Peter Bergen, «Warrior in Chief», New York Times, April 29, 2012, p. SR1.

215 David Rodhe, «The Obama Doctrine», Foreign Policy, March/April 2012, pp. 65–69.

216 Greg Miller, «U.S. Set to Keep Kill Lists for Years», Washington Post, October 24, p. A1.

217 Майкл О’Хэнлон считает, что администрации не хватает эффективной стратегии работы с недееспособными государствами. См.: «Obama’s Weak and Failing States Agenda», Washington Quarterly 35, no. (Fall 2012): 67–80.

218 Hassan Bin Talal, «U.S. Can’t Abandon the Middle East», Los Angeles Times, April 17, 2012, http://articles.latimes.com/2012/apr/17/opinion/la-oe-hassan-middle-east-engagement-20120417.

219 Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power (New York: Simon & Schuster, 1991), pp. 167—83.

220 Andrew Scott Cooper, The Oil Kings: How the U.S., Iran, and Saudi Arabia Changed the Balance of Power in the Middle East (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2011), pp. 137—98.

221 См.: Gene Whitney, Carl E. Behrens, and Carol Glover. «U.S. Fossil Fuel Resources: Terminology, Reporting, and Summary», U. S. Congressional Research Service, March 25, 2011, p. 22, Table 6, http://assets.opencrs.com/rpts/R40872_20110325.pdf.

222 Alex de Marban, «North Dakota Crude Elbows Alaska Oil Out of Washington Refinery», Alaska Dispatch, June 13, 2012, http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/north-dakota-crude-elbows-alaska-oil-out-washington-refinery.

223 Thomas Friedman, «The Other Arab Spring», New York Times, April 8, 2012, p. SR1.

224 «Lights Out: Another Threat to a Fragile Country’s Stability», Economist, October 8, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/21531495.

225 Michael Kugelman, «Pakistan’s Climate Challenge», Foreign Policy, May 9, 2012, http://afpak.foreignpolicy.com/posts/ 2012/05/09/pakistans_climate_change.

226 John Bongaarts, Zeba Sathar, and Arshad Mahmoud, «Seven Billion People, How Many Pakistanis?» News, November 1, 2011, http://www.thenews.com.pk/Todays-News-9—75429-Seven-billion-people-how-many-Pakistanis; «Pakistan to Become the World’s 4th Largest Nation by 2050: Survey», Pakistan Defence, June 28, 2010, http://www.defence.pk/forums/economy-development/63702-pakistan-becomes-4th-largest-nation-population-2050-a.html.

227 Robert Worth, «Earth Is Parched Where Syrian Farms Thrived», New York Times, October 13, 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/14/world/middleeast/14syria.html.

228 Ruchir Sharma, Breakout Nations: In Pursuit of the Next Economic Miracles (New York: Norton, 2012), p. 23.

229 Zuliu Hu and Mohsin S. Khan, Why Is China Growing So Fast? Economic Issues series, no. 8 (Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund, 1997), p. 1, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/issues8/issue8.hdf.

230 Niall Ferguson, «Mideast’s Next Dilemma: With Turkey Flexing Its Muscles, We May Soon Face a Revived Ottoman Empire», Newsweek, June 19, 2011, http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/06/19/turkey-the-mideast-next-dilemma.html#.

231 Ahmet Davutoglu, Civilizational Transformation and the Muslim World (Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia: Mahir Publications, 1994); «The Davutoglu Effect», Economist, October 21, 2010, http://www.economist.com/node/17276420.

232 Sharma, Breakout Nations, p. 119.

233 Vali Nasr, The Shia Revival: How Conflicts Within Islam Will Shape the Future (New York: Norton, 2006).

234 Halil Karaveli, «Why Does Turkey Want Regime Change in Syria?» National Interest, July 23, 2012, http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/why-does-turkey-want-regime-change-syria-7227.

235 «Alevis Fire at Government in Ongoing Cemevi Quarrel», Hurriyet Daily News, August 11, 2012, http://www.hurrietdailynews.com/alevis-fire-at-government-in-ongoing-cemevi-quarrel.aspx?pageID=238&nID=25298&NewsCatID=339.

236 «Growing Less Mild», Economist, April 14, 2012, p. 61.

237 Halil M. Karaveli, «Why Turkey Is Not Going to Help Midwife a Pluralist Syria», Turkey Analyst 5, no. 15, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, August 13, 2012, http://www.silkroadstudies.org/news/inside/turkey/2012/120813a.html.

238 Там же.

239 «Erdogan Lambasts Opposition, Says Syrian Crisis Not Sectarian», Today’s Zaman, May 15, 2012, http://www.sundayszaman.com/sunday/newsDetail_getNewsById.action?newsId=280401.

240 Anthony Shadid, «Turkey Predicts Alliance with Egypt as Regional Anchors», New York Times, September 19, 2011, p. A4.

241 Matt Bradley, «Saudi Arabia Closes Embassy in Egypt», Wall Street Journal, April 28, 2012, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405270230472330457737191218060218.html?mod=WSJ_World_LEFTSecondNews.

242 Tony Karon, «Does Qatar Share the West’s Agenda in Libya?» Time, October 5, 2011, http://globalspin.blogs.time.com/2011/10/05/does-qatar-share-the-west-agenda-in-libya/; Rod Norland and David Kirkpatrick, «Islamists’ Growing Sway Raises Questions for Libya», New York Times, September 14, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/15/world/africa/in-libya-islamists-growing-sway-raises-questions, html?pagewanted=all.

243 Golnaz Esfandiari, «Qatar Conquers Iran’s Airspace», Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty, November 5, 2011, http://www.rferl.org/content/qatar_conquers_irans_airspace/24382213.html.

244 Sharma, Breakout Nations, p. 213; Vali Nasr, «Will Saudis Kill the Arab Spring?», Bloomberg View, May 23, 2011, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011—05–23/will-the-saudis-kill-the-arab-spring-.html.

245 Sharma, Breakout Nations, p. 216.

246 Robert Kaplan, The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate (New York: Random House, 2012), p. 258.

247 Kiren Aziz Chaudhry, The Price of Wealth: Economies an Institutions in the Middle East (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1997); Thomas W. Lippman, Saudi Arabia on the Edge: The Uncertain Future of an American Ally (Washington, DC: Potomac Books, 2012).

248 Toby Jones, Desert Kingdom: How Oil and Water Forged Modern Saudi Arabia (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2010).

249 Nasr, The Shia Revival, pp. 147—68.

250 Интервью с бывшим иранским официальным лицом, июль 2011 года.

251 Джеффри Бейдер, работавший по Китаю в Белом доме при Обаме, пишет о вере президента Обамы в то, что Америка игнорировала Азию, потому что сосредоточивала все свое внимание на Ближнем Востоке и Аль-Каиде, см. у: Jeffrey Bader, Obama and China’s Rise: An Insider’s Account of America’s Asia Strategy (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 2012); см. также: David M. Lampton, «China and the United States: Beyond Balance», Asia Policy 14 (July 2012): 41.

252 Там же.

253 Hillary Clinton, «America’s Pacific Century», Foreign Policy, November 2011, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/10/11/americas_pacific_century.

254 Там же.

255 Kenneth Lieberthal and Wang Jisi, Addressing U. S. – China Strategic Distrust, John L. Thornton China Center Monograph Series, no. 4 (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 2012).

256 Dale Copeland, «Economic Interdependence and the Future of U.S. – China Relations», у: G. John Ikenberry and Michael Mastaduno, eds., International Relations Theory and the Asia-Pacific (New York: Columbia University Press, 2003), pp. 323—52.

257 Henry M. Kissinger, «The Future of U.S. – Chinese Relations: Conflict Is a Choice, Not a Necessity», Foreign Affairs, March/April 2012, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/137245/henry-a-kissinger/the-future-of-us-chinese-relations.

258 David Smith, «Hillary Clinton Launches African Tour with Veiled Attack on China», Guardian, August 1, 2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/aug/01/hillary-clinton-africa-china.

259 Aaron Friedberg, A Contest for Supremacy: China, America, and the Struggle for Mastery in Asia (New York: Norton, 2011).

260 Arvind Subramanian, Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic Dominance (Washington, DC: Institute of International Economics, 2012); Martin Jacques, When China Rules the World: The End of the Western World and the Birth of a New Global Order, 2nd ed. (New York: Penguin Press, 2012).

261 Zachary Karabell, Superfusion: How China and America Became One Economy and Why the World’s Prosperity Depends on It (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2009); Robyn Meredith, The Elephant and the Dragon: The Rise of India and China and What It Means for All of Us (New York: Norton, 2007); Nicholas Lardy, Sustaining China’s Economic Growth After the Global Financial Crisis (Washington, DC: Peterson Institute, 2012).

262 Kathrin Hille, «Clinton Struggles to Soothe Beijing Fears», Financial Times, September 5, 2012, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/9b296eec-f728—11el-8e9e-00144feabdc0.html#25abzfG2p.

263 Andrew J. Nathan and Andrew Scobell, «How China Sees America», Foreign Affairs, September/October 2012, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/138009/andrew-j-nathan-and-andrew-scobell/how-china-sees-america?page=show; Robert Ross, «The Problem with the Pivot», Foreign Affairs, Nоember/December 2012, pp. 70–82.

264 Thom Shanker, «Panetta Set to Discuss U. S. Shift in Asia Trip», New York Tomes, September 14, 2012, p. A4.

265 Kissinger, «Future of U.S. – Chinese Relations».

266 Henry M. Kissinger, On China (New York: Penguin Press, 2012), pp. 487–530; Zbigniev Brzezinski, Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power (New York: Basic Books, 2012), pp. 155—82.

267 Daniel Yergin, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Making of the Modern World (New York: Penguin Press, 2011), p. 222.

268 Rebecca M. Nelson, Mary Jane Bolle, and Shayerah Ilias, U. S. Trade and Investment in the Middle East and North Africa: Overview and Issues for Congress, Congressional Research Service report, January 20, 2012, http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/183739.hdf.

269 Direction of Trade Statistics Yearbook, 2011 (Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund, 2011), http://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF042/11827—9781616351489/11827—9781626351489/11827—9781616351489.xml?rskey=J2QZQv&result=1&q=Direction%20of%20Trade%Statistics%20Yearbook,%202011.

270 Qian Xuewen, «Sino-Arab Economic Trade and Cooperation: Situations, Tasks< Issues, and Strategies», Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies 5, no. 4 (2011): 68.

271 Kissinger, «Future of U.S. – Chinese Relations».

272 Bernard Gordon, «Trading Up in Asia», Foreign Affairs, July/August 2012, http://foreignaffairs.com/print/134960.

273 Jane Perlez, «Clinton Makes Effort to Rechannel the Rivalry with China», New York Times, July 8, 2012, p. A7.

274 Joseph Nye «Energy Independence in an Independent World», Project Syndicate, July 11, 2012, http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/energy-independence-in-an-independent-world.

275 «China to Built $2bn Railway for Iran», Telegraph, September 7, 2010, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/china-busuness/7985812/China-to-build-2bn-railway-for-Iran.html.

276 Myles Smith, «China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan Railway Project Brings Political Risks», Central Asia Institute Analyst, John Hopkins University, March 7, 2012, http://www/cacianalyst.org/?q=node/5731.

277 «Turkey, China Sign Two Nuclear Agreements During PM’s Visit», Daily Hurriyet, April 10, 2012, http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-china-sign-two-nuclear-agreements-during-pms-visit.aspz?pageID=238&nID=18032&NewsCatID=348. В этой статье приводится цифра объема товарооборота в 2010 году в размере 19,5 миллиарда долларов США; Ассоциация турецких промышленников и предпринимателей (TUSIAD) в Пекине приводит цифру за 2012 год в размере 25 миллиардов долларов США.

278 Интервью с топ-менеджерами нефтяных компаний, инвестирующих в Ираке, а также с представителями Регионального правительства Турецкого Курдистана, август и сентябрь 2012 года.

279 Kent Calder, The New Continentalism: Energy and Twenty-First Century Eurasian Geopolitics (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2012), pp. xxxi – xxxii.

280 Yergin, Quest, p. 210.

281 James Fallows, China Airborne (New York: Pantheon, 2012), p. 98.

282 Yergin, Quest, p. 172.

283 Robert Kaplan, «Center Stage for the 21st Century: Power Plays in the Indian Ocean», Foreign Affairs, April/May 2009, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/print/64832.

284 Preparing for China’s Urban Billion (San Francisco: McKinsey Global Institute, 2009), p. 18, цитируется по: Fallows, China Airborne, p. 101.